Percentage growth

We often express the growth as a percentage. The percent increase or decrease per time step is called the growth rate. For example, assume that in year 20002000 there are 120120 trees in the forest, and each 55 years the number of trees increases by 2%2\% of the previous number of trees. What type of growth is this? Let's see. After 55 years, the number of trees increases by 2%2\% of 120120 trees, that is, by

0.02120=2.40.02\cdot 120=2.4

trees. So the number of trees in 20052005 is

120+2.4=122.4120+2.4=122.4

After another 55 years, the number of trees increases by 2%2\% of the 120.4120.4 trees, that is, by

0.02122.4=2.4480.02\cdot 122.4=2.448

So the total number of trees in 20102010 is

122.4+2.448=124.848122.4+2.448=124.848

and so on. So clearly this is not linear growth, as the increment in not constant from one step to the next. Indeed, it is actually exponential growth, because in each step we multiply by

u=122.4120=124.848122.4=1.02u=\frac{122.4}{120}=\frac{124.848}{122.4}=1.02 trees:120+2%,1.02122.4+2%,1.02124.848+2%,1.02...+2%,1.02yyear:2000+52005+52010+5...+5x\begin{array}{rllll} \text{trees}:& 120 &\xrightarrow[]{+2\%, \cdot 1.02} & 122.4 &\xrightarrow[]{+2\%, \cdot 1.02} & 124.848 & \xrightarrow[]{+2\%, \cdot 1.02} & ... & \xrightarrow[]{+2\%, \cdot 1.02} & y\\ \text{year}:& 2000 & \xrightarrow[]{+5} & 2005 & \xrightarrow[]{+5} & 2010 & \xrightarrow[]{+5} & ... &\xrightarrow[]{+5} & x\\ \end{array}

We could go on with more examples, but the idea should be clear. In general we have the following:

Theorem 1: Percentage growth
Proof

The general proof is similar to above. Assume the quantity is y0y_0 at the start time x0x_0. After one time step the quantity increases by p%p\% of y0y_0, which is p100y0\frac{p}{100}y_0. Thus we have

y1=y0+p100y0=(1+p100)y0\begin{array}{lll} y_1 &=& y_0+\frac{p}{100}y_0\\ &=&(1+\frac{p}{100})\cdot y_0 \end{array}

In the next step the quantity increases by p%p\% of y1y_1, which is p100y1\frac{p}{100}y_1. Thus we have

y2=y1+p100y1=(1+p100)y1\begin{array}{lll} y_2 &=& y_1+\frac{p}{100}y_1\\ &=&(1+\frac{p}{100})\cdot y_1 \end{array}

and so on. So we see that u=1+p100u=1+\frac{p}{100}. The proof for the decay works in a similar way.

Consider a quantity that increases after each time step by p%p\%. Then this is exponential growth with growth factor

u=1+p100u=1+\frac{p}{100}

If the quantity decreases by p%p\% after each time step, we get exponential decay, and the growth (or decay) factor is

u=1p100u=1-\frac{p}{100}
Exercise 1
  1. Number of bacteria in a Petri dish culture increase at a rapid pace. At the beginning (at 0h0 h) there are 100100 bacteria, and every 2h2 h, their number increases by 10%10\% from the previous number. Determine an expression for the number of bacteria at time xx.

  2. You bought a boat in the year 20002000 for 5000050 000 CHF. Every third month it loses 0.1%0.1\% of its previous value. Determine an expression for the value of the boat at time xx (where xx is measured in years).

Solution
  1. Increase by p=10%p=10\%, thus, the growth factor is u=1+10100=1.1u=1+\frac{10}{100}=1.1. Thus, f(x)=1001.1x/2f(x)=\underline{100\cdot 1.1^{x/2}}.
  2. Decrease by p=0.1%p=0.1\%, thus growth (or decay) factor is u=10.1100=0.999u=1-\frac{0.1}{100}=0.999. Every third month is every quarter of a year, so the time step is 0.250.25. Thus f(x)=500000.999(x2000)/0.25f(x)=\underline{50 000\cdot 0.999^{(x-2000)/0.25}}.